FNUS72 KILM 020815 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 414 AM EDT SAT JUL 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2050 EDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGHOUT THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...AND INTO MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN EAST-WEST FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DROP SOUTH TO CENTRAL NC BEFORE STALLING LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THIS BOUNDARY COULD BECOME A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATE NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...EXPECT ISOLATED SEA BREEZE DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION EACH DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING EAST AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING EAST 1 TO 2 MPH LATE...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 1 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LVORI...............4. ADI.................1...INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 18 LATE...INCREASING TO 29 LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............7 3 10 13 13 20 WEATHER COV.........PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................74 74 83 91 95 95 RH..................89 84 58 39 31 29 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 W 2 NW 2 N 2 NE 2 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 1 W 1 NW 1 N 1 NE 1 N 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 LVORI...............6 6 3 2 2 2 ADI.................0 0 2 29 20 18 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............3. ADI.................33...DECREASING TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............30 38 33 27 22 24 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................91 85 80 77 75 74 RH..................34 47 59 68 75 81 20 FT WIND..........NE 3 SE 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 2 SE 2 S 2 S 3 S 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 3 3 3 4 ADI.................33 32 5 6 9 9 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............4. ADI.................8...INCREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 60 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 70 LATE...DECREASING TO 52. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 30 33 42 49 52 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 72 82 90 94 95 RH..................89 93 59 43 37 36 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 15 10 LVORI...............5 6 2 1 1 1 ADI.................8 6 9 52 62 50 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110701.SIMMO.04/ILM