FNUS74 KLIX 011201 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR BREAKWATER FIRE...U.S. FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 701 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT ANOTHER SEABREEZE TO DEVELOP BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS AT THE BURN SITE. HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS A WEAK LANDBREEZE DEVELOPS. QUESTION 1. THE MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE TODAY WILL BE IN THE 13-15 MPH RANGE. THE PEAK TIME FOR WIND GUSTS WILL BE AFTER THE SEABREEZE DEVELOPS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MAINLY FROM NOON TO 5 PM. QUESTION 2. THE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND ANY RELATED LIGHTNING ARE AT 10 PERCENT OR LESS. OVERALL THE RISK OF SEEING ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS VERY LOW. QUESTION 3. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 40-45% THIS AFTERNOON. RH VALUES FELL A BIT FASTER THAN EXPECTED YESTERDAY AS TEMPERATURES ROSE MORE RAPIDLY IN THE MORNING HOURS DUE TO LATER ONSET OF SEABREEZE. QUESTION 4. FOG RISK IS VERY LOW FOR TONIGHT. IF FOG DOES DEVELOP IT WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND VERY PATCHY. FOG WILL BE MOST LIKELY FROM AROUND 5 AM TO AROUND 8 AM IF ANY DOES FORM. QUESTION 5 & 6. WIND WILL DEFINITELY GO CALM OR NEARLY CALM TONIGHT. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER 8 PM WITH CALM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY 10 PM. ONCE WINDS GO CALM...WIND DIRECTION WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE...ALTHOUGH OVERALL FLOW SHOULD BE FROM THE NORTH DUE TO LANDBREEZE FORMATION. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........20 20 20 20 20 20 38 38 38 38 38 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............72 77 81 85 88 91 93 94 95 94 93 RH..............100 87 77 65 57 50 46 44 43 46 47 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.9 5.9 5.9 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........38 17 17 17 23 23 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............90 83 80 76 73 72 RH..............54 67 77 87 97 97 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 3 S 2 W 1 NW 0 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5 S 5 S 3 S 2 W 1 NW 0 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2400 1400 1400 700 200 MIX HGT (M).....820 730 430 430 210 60 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 12 SW 15 SW 15 W 12 NW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 3 SW 5 SW 7 SW 7 W 5 NW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........23 34 34 34 36 36 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 78 88 90 91 92 RH..............97 82 61 56 52 51 20 FT WIND......NW 1 NW 2 S 3 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 1 NW 2 S 3 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 600 4700 4700 5300 4200 MIX HGT (M).....60 180 1430 1430 1620 1280 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 N 6 N 6 N 6 NE 3 SW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 N 3 N 3 N 3 NE 1 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110701.BREAK.01/LIX