FNUS75 KPUB 021148
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
548 AM MDT SAT JUL 2 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FLAT RIDGE OF UPPER HIGH PRESSURE OVER BURN AREA WITH
A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH AND ENOUGH MOISTURE
FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY WILL LIKELY INCREASE OVER
WHAT OCCURRED YESTERDAY...WITH A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE
FOR SOME WETTING PRECIPITATION.

NO FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS IN EFFECT FOR THE BURN AREA
TODAY.  HUMIDITIES WILL HIT CRITERIA BUT THE WINDS
PROBABLY WILL NOT.  HOWEVER...THERE WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE THREAT OF ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

FIRE WEATHER THREAT STILL LOOKS TO REMAIN SUBDUED
FOR SUNDAY.  AGAIN...HUMIDITIES WILL REACH CRITICAL
LEVELS...BUT WINDS LIKELY WILL NOT.  THE THREAT
OF ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS FROM AFTERNOON
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1200.
                    ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE 4-8 MPH
                    UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 8
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 15000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4 UNTIL 1500...THEN 6.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400. ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE
                    3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200. ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 15000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110701.DUCKE.01/PUB