FNUS75 KTWC 020122
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE 2...USFS CNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
621 PM MST FRI JUL 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 MST ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL RESULT
IN A RATHER TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WITH
BREEZY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
WITH THE STORMS MOVING TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST. STRONG ERRATIC AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. VERY HOT DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66 TO 71 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........34 TO 42 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 18 MPH MAINLY IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 97 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 22 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN EAST 15 TO 20
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 3.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61 TO 68 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 TO 60 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN
                    THE EARLY EVENING.
LAL.................3.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DAN COTTRELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110701.HORSE.01/TWC