FNUS74 KEPZ 021515
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JACKSON...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
915 AM MDT SAT JUL 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0843 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL ALLOW MID AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO
CONTINUE FLOWING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE MOIST AIR AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA. THESE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY FROM THE HIGH TEENS TO MID 20S AND MODERATE
TO GOOD RECOVERY AT NIGHT. THAT HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN
OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SUNDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE MOST OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW TO BRING IN ENOUGH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FOR THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT INTO MID MORNING...THEN EAST TO SOUTHEAST
                    6 TO 12 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS AROUND 18 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT BY MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  WIDELY SCATTERED
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT INTO MID MORNING...THEN SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110702.JACKS.01/EPZ