FNUS74 KEPZ 022128
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR LITTLE LEWIS...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
328 PM MDT SAT JUL 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1457 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OVERALL WINDS ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
HAVE BEEN LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY...INCLUDING MESONET SITES IN WEED AND
SACRAMENTO.  LIKELY SEEING LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WINDS...BEING SHIFTED
BY TERRAIN.  THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF
THE MAIN RIDGELINE OF THE SACS...BUT WEAK WESTERLY OUTFLOW COULD
BRING A LIGHT WIND SHIFT TOWARDS EVENING.  OTHERWISE EXPECT WINDS
TO BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...WITH DRAINAGE FLOWS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL ALLOW MID AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO
CONTINUE FLOWING IN FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL CAUSE WIDELY
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH WINDS GUSTING
TO AROUND 45 MPH AND ARE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN WEST OF THE FIRE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO A LITTLE
ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY FROM THE
UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S AND MODERATE TO GOOD RECOVERY AT NIGHT.
THAT HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW ENOUGH MID
AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY/UPDATED...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...VERY SLIGHT
                    CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........GENERALLY SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH...LOCALIZED
                    EAST-NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  LIGHT WESTERLY
                    OUTFLOW POSSIBLE TOWARDS EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 KNOTS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110702.LITTL.02/EPZ