FNUS72 KILM 021353 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 953 AM EDT SAT JUL 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0940 EDT ON JULY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... VERY LIGHT SURFACE LOW-LEVEL WINDS TODAY...CALM TO VARIABLE LESS THAN 4 MPH MUCH OF THE DAY. WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGHOUT THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...AND INTO MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN EAST-WEST FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DROP SOUTH TO CENTRAL NC BEFORE STALLING LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THIS BOUNDARY COULD BECOME A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATE NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...EXPECT ISOLATED SEA BREEZE DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION EACH DAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS AN UNFAVORABLE PROFILE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...TYPE 1-F. MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 800 FT AGL. DIRECTION SE.SPEED 21 MPH. WIND PROFILE WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE WEST OF THE SEA BREEZE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 4 MPH. MAXIMUM LVORI.......4. ADI.................1...INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN 29 LATE. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............5 12 13 15 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................78 89 93 95 93 RH..................73 45 36 30 31 20 FT WIND..........W 2 NW 2 N 2 NE 2 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 1 NW 1 N 1 NE 2 N 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 LVORI...............4 2 2 2 2 ADI.................1 20 27 20 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MAXIMUM LVORI.......4. ADI.................33...DECREASING TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............30 38 33 27 22 24 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................91 85 80 77 75 74 RH..................34 47 59 68 75 82 20 FT WIND..........NE 3 SE 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 2 SE 2 S 2 S 3 S 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 3 4 ADI.................33 32 5 6 9 9 .SUNDAY... EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............4. ADI.................8...INCREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 60 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 70 LATE...DECREASING TO 52. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 30 33 42 49 52 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 73 82 90 94 95 RH..................89 92 59 43 37 36 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 15 10 LVORI...............5 6 2 1 1 1 ADI.................8 6 9 52 62 50 $$ FORECASTER...8 REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110702.SIMMO.01/ILM