FNUS72 KMHX 021137 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NC FOREST RESOURCES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 737 AM EDT SAT JUL 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0727 EDT ON JULY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY. IT WILL BECOME STATIONARY OVER NC THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700-6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............80 19 18 17 16 20 27 23 22 19 15 WEATHER COV.........SCT ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........TSM TSM TSM TEMP................72 74 78 80 82 83 84 85 86 85 84 RH..................85 78 68 62 56 55 55 57 55 59 61 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW S SE E E SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)1 1 1 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............18 20 19 19 19 20 21 23 25 25 26 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................83 81 79 76 76 76 76 75 74 74 73 72 RH..................65 69 74 82 79 79 74 74 74 74 79 84 20 FT WIND DIR......SE S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700-7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............27 28 29 31 36 41 46 51 54 55 58 60 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................72 73 77 78 81 84 86 86 88 88 88 87 RH..................84 84 74 74 69 63 59 59 55 55 57 59 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...CHUCK CREDLE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110702.PAINS.01/MHX