FNUS72 KILM 031830 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 230 PM EDT SUN JUL 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1343 EDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT THE FIRE SITE...SW WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A BIT MORE SOUTHERLY AND PERHAPS INCREASE IN SPEED A BIT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...THEN SETTLING TO A LIGHT SW WIND OVERNIGHT. NO TSTMS ARE EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE THROUGH 500 PM. IF ANY DO CROP UP NEAR BY..WE WILL NOTIFY YOU. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS TO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY INCREASE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...RESULTING IN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED ANY THUNDERSTORM IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. MAXIMUM LVORI.......3. ADI TREND...........40...DECREASING TO 10 LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............26 28 47 53 55 57 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP................93 87 82 79 76 75 RH..................40 48 60 72 81 86 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 2 2 3 4 4 ADI.................40 5 12 14 12 10 .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............3. ADI.................9 EARLY...REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 68 AROUND NOON THEN DECREASING TO 40 INTO LATE AFTERNO0N. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............58 58 54 48 43 47 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP................74 78 85 91 94 94 RH..................87 72 57 46 42 41 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 LVORI...............5 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................9 15 41 68 54 40 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-6100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MAXIMUM LVORI.......7. ADI TREND...........42 EARLY...DECREASING TO 0 AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............49 52 56 61 64 62 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................91 86 80 77 76 74 RH..................45 54 68 78 86 90 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 2 3 4 6 7 ADI.................42 15 5 2 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM LVORI.......6. ADI.................2 EARLY...INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............59 56 54 51 48 51 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 76 83 89 91 91 RH..................93 81 65 52 48 48 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 W 2 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 W 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............6 4 2 2 1 2 ADI.................2 12 19 21 58 28 $$ FORECASTER...8 REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110703.SIMMO.02/ILM