FNUS74 KLCH 031733 FWSLCH SPOT FORECAST FOR TOURBE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1233 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPDATED TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST SEA-BREEZE TRENDS. A WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL ALLOW SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BEGIN INCREASING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE AND AROUND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN SOME SPOTS... BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL NOT EXPERIENCE ENOUGH RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE CURRENT ELEVATED FIRE RISK. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE AWAY FROM STORMS...WITH A LAND-BREEZE OR LIGHT NORTH WINDS AT NIGHT AND DURING THE DAYTIME... WITH A LIGHT SEA-BREEZE OR SOUTH WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME. MEANWHILE...AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THESE VALUES ARE ABOVE WHAT WOULD NORMALLY BE NEEDED FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A REMINDER...BURN BANS REMAIN IN PLACE FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400-7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400-7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID SKY (%).........27 30 33 36 39 42 45 45 44 44 43 43 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............92 93 93 93 92 92 90 88 86 84 83 82 RH..............49 48 48 48 50 52 55 59 64 68 71 74 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 9 12 14 14 14 13 10 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.3 5 7 9 10 10 10 10 8 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.5 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 6.2 7.0 9.8 7.7 5.7 3.6 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 1.9 2.1 3.0 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E S S S S S S S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 2 10 16 20 20 16 13 10 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 1 4 7 9 9 7 6 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-7500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8300-8900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5100-6700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-7500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8300-8900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5100-6700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. $$ FORECASTER...BRAZZELL REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW JOHNSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110703.TOURB.02/LCH