FNUS72 KMHX 031143 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NC FOREST RESOURCES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 743 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0721 EDT ON JULY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL MOVE FARTHER EAST TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE STATE MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY...REACHING THE COAST ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............25 44 47 53 55 64 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................78 80 85 87 88 87 RH..................81 69 53 49 51 59 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 8 SW 10 SW 10 SW 12 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 25 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 74 70 64 60 57 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................86 82 79 78 77 76 RH..................61 72 79 83 86 88 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 15 S 15 SW 14 SW 14 SW 11 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 20 20 15 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .INDEPENDENCE DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............54 52 52 53 53 54 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 80 85 88 89 90 RH..................93 80 63 56 56 56 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 11 SW 11 SW 10 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 15 15 15 20 LVORI...............5 3 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...CHUCK CREDLE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110703.PAINS.01/MHX