FNUS72 KILM 041926 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 326 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 EDT ON JULY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NOTE...A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMER CONDITIONS TO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE WEEK. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY INCREASE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK RESULTING IN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) SKIES WILL PREVAIL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 90...DROPPING INTO THE 80S BY THE EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH...WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS THE SEA BREEZE BECOMES FULLY DEVELOPED. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............4. ADI.................43...DECREASING TO 10. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............24 28 27 27 25 40 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 84 80 78 77 76 RH..................59 66 74 79 83 84 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 12 13 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 10 S 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 S 9 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 15 12 13 15 15 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 ADI.................43 12 12 12 12 12 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGH MID-MORNING... BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. ADI.................13...INCREASING TO 62. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............43 54 52 54 57 49 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 78 84 88 89 89 RH..................83 82 68 60 58 58 20 FT WIND..........S 4 SW 5 SW 6 S 5 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 3 SW 4 SW 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............4 3 3 2 1 1 ADI.................13 25 32 30 35 61 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............5. ADI.................57...DECREASING TO 13. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............50 61 62 63 63 64 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 83 78 75 74 73 RH..................62 73 86 93 96 100 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 3 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 10 10 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 5 5 5 ADI.................57 18 15 13 15 14 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............7 EARLY. ADI.................12...INCREASING TO 51. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............66 67 65 61 59 54 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 75 81 86 88 88 RH..................100 98 79 65 58 55 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 10 15 20 LVORI...............7 5 3 2 1 1 ADI.................12 16 20 25 31 47 $$ FORECASTER...PFAFF REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110704.JUNIP.01/ILM