FNUS72 KILM 042121 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 521 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1653 EDT ON JULY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NOTE...A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMER CONDITIONS TO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE WEEK. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY INCREASE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK RESULTING IN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AND DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AND DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LVORI...............5. ADI.................45...DECREASING TO 8. TIME (EDT) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............27 38 43 49 42 39 46 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP................93 88 85 80 77 75 74 RH..................44 54 62 73 82 88 91 20 FT WIND..........SW 11 S 9 S 8 S 8 S 7 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 12 11 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 11 S 9 S 8 S 8 S 7 S 5 S 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 12 11 10 10 LVORI...............1 2 2 3 3 5 5 ADI.................45 15 18 18 16 8 13 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LVORI...............5. ADI.................13...INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 25 IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............48 56 52 53 54 63 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 76 82 88 91 93 RH..................91 85 69 57 51 45 20 FT WIND..........S 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 NW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 10 10 10 5 LVORI...............5 4 1 1 1 2 ADI.................13 22 44 47 36 25 $$ FORECASTER...CAROPOLO REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110704.SIMMO.02/ILM