FNUS72 KMFL 042252
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC FIREWORKS...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
652 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1910 EDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM THE ATLANTIC
OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WHICH WILL KEEP THE
LOCAL AREA UNDER A DEEP EASTERLY WIND FLOW. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AT
5 TO 6 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM THE EAST. DISPERSION INDICES SHOULD
REMAIN IN THE ABOVE AVERAGE CATEGORY DURING THE EVENING HOURS, BUT
BECOMING POOR TOWARD MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........73     73     44     44     44     44
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........LIKELY ISOLTD
TEMP............84     82     81     79     76     75
RH..............71     73     77     83     89     91
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6    E 5    E 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   2600   700    700    600    600
MIXNG WIND......E 13   E 13   E 10   E 10   E 8    E 8
DISPERSION IDX..32     10     9      9      5      5
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............3      2      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 37 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 30 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110704.BCFIR.01/MFL