FNUS75 KPUB 051128
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
528 AM MDT TUE JUL 5 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASING MOISTURE IN
THE MID AND HIGH LEVELS WILL TRIGGER ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.  INITIALLY...
THE LOW LEVELS OF ATMOSPHERE WILL BE QUITE DRY...WITH THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY TO BE HIGH BASED...AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ERRATIC GUSTY
WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND LIGHTNING...BUT LITTLE RAINFALL. SOME LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS THE MOISTURE LAYER
DEEPENS AND SOME VERY LIGHT RAINFALL MAY MAKE IT DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE DISTRICT WEDNESDAY MORNING
WHICH SHOULD BRING INCREASING HUMIDITIES...SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND A BETTER CHANCE FOR A WETTING RAINFALL ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(52 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST SOUTHEAST
                    10-15 MPH.   ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50
                    MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH. ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(69 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 8-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110704.DUCKE.02/PUB