FNUS75 KRIW 041915
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FREMONT...IA CPC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
115 PM MDT MON JUL 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1251 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND
AROUND THE FIRE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND DECENT INSTABILITY. A
BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR TUESDAY MORNING...BUT
THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE
FIRE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY CONTAIN GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WIND TO 55 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDED MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL KEEP HUMIDITY IN THE
20 PERCENT RANGE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL SLIGHTLY TOMORROW UNDER INCREASED CLOUD COVER.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 1-5 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    5-10 AFTER 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AFTER 1500.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800-9800 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AT
                    25 TO 30 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (134600 KNOT-FT) AFTER 1400.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH AND GUSTY AFTER
                    2000...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-7 MPH AFTER 0100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST BY 2000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 0100.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.14 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2300 FT AGL
                    BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AND INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH BY 2000...
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    0100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (34800-81700 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). DRY CONDITIONS
                    EXPECTED AROUND 0500...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AFTER 1300.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.24 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100-9600 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15-20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO VERY GOOD (79400-110700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...KYLE ADAMS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110704.FREMO.01/RIW