FNUS75 KGJT 060043
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
643 PM MDT TUE JUL 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1830 MDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH WILL BE NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS ON WEDNESDAY THEN SINK INTO NEW MEXICO ON THURSDAY. DEEP
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THIS HIGH. THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS IS HIGHEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
BUT SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EVEN INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
STORM MOTION WILL BE FROM WEST TO EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH. BUT GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS OF UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED MORNING SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SCATTERED AFTERNOON
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 2-8 MPH BY
                    1000. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    EXCELLENT IN SHOWERS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. AS HIGH AS 20000
                    FT AGL IN THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (GREATER THAN 0.10 INCH)...20%

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON
                    EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN AND AROUND STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER IN STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (GREATER THAN 0.10 INCH)...20%

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PMEDINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110705.BEAVE.01/GJT