FNUS72 KILM 051526 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HORNET FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1126 AM EDT TUE JUL 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1056 EDT ON JULY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP AGAIN BY TONIGHT. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS IN SW WIND FLOW. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEK...AS TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES NORTH AND A WEAKENING COLD FRONT SLOWLY MAKES ITS WAY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO THE WEEKEND. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE TYPE 1-F. LOW-LEVEL WIND MAX NEAR 1500 FT AGL...SW 30 MPH. THIS LOW LEVEL WIND MAX WILL WEAKEN INTO LATE MORNING...BUT LOCATION EAST OF A LANDWARD MOVING SEA BREEZE WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-5100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........3. ADI.................52. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 50 52 53 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................84 87 88 88 RH..................64 57 61 58 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 S 7 S 7 S 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 20 20 LVORI...............3 2 1 1 ADI.................15 30 34 47 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. ADI.................50. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............54 55 56 57 58 54 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 83 82 81 80 79 RH..................69 77 85 89 89 89 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 10 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 7 S 7 S 7 S 5 S 5 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 20 15 15 15 10 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 5 ADI.................50 35 26 17 16 14 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. ADI.................48. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............49 45 45 44 44 47 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP................79 78 83 86 86 86 RH..................88 91 72 64 62 64 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 6 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 4 S 5 S 7 S 7 S 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 1 1 ADI.................10 5 11 35 41 48 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...DOUG MILLS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110705.HORNE.01/ILM