FNUS72 KILM 051914 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 314 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1456 EDT ON JULY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE AND THEY WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE SW OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS IF THEY HOLD TOGETHER. A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP AGAIN BY LATE TONIGHT BUT WILL BE A BIT WEAKER...ABOUT 25 MPH DOWN TO 1500 FEET BETWEEN 11 PM AND 800 AM. HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION MAINTAINING HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS AND A SOUTHWESTERLY OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH AN AFTERNOON SEABREEZE THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK. BY SATURDAY TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE WITH A STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATING OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BECOME REESTABLISHED BY TUESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. MAX MAX LVORI........2. MAX ADI.............32. TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 54 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................89 88 RH..................60 58 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 S 3 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 LVORI...............2 2 ADI.................29 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............38. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............56 52 60 60 51 51 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 82 79 78 77 77 RH..................66 76 86 92 96 97 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 6 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 4 S 4 S 3 S 2 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............3 3 4 5 6 8 ADI.................38 22 16 11 12 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............55. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............53 55 59 60 61 61 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 79 84 87 88 87 RH..................96 79 67 61 62 65 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 4 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............7 3 3 2 1 3 ADI.................6 32 21 20 55 40 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............37. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............62 65 70 72 74 76 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 82 78 76 76 75 RH..................72 81 90 91 88 89 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 6 S 5 S 4 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 5 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 2 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............3 3 5 5 5 6 ADI.................37 19 12 8 7 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............50. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............75 67 64 64 69 74 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 76 82 86 88 87 RH..................93 96 80 68 66 67 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............6 5 3 3 1 1 ADI.................4 13 23 43 42 44 $$ FORECASTER...8 REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110705.JUNIP.01/ILM