FNUS72 KILM 062042 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 442 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1456 EDT ON JULY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............47. TIME (EDT) 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 39 60 61 62 72 71 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................85 84 82 78 76 76 75 RH..................61 62 64 73 80 84 89 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 3 4 4 4 5 ADI.................47 47 18 14 13 11 12 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2600-3900 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............46. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 75 75 76 77 77 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR TEMP................76 78 83 87 88 87 RH..................93 89 74 66 64 64 20 FT WIND..........S 4 SW 4 SW 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................11 30 38 41 44 41 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............23. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............76 76 75 73 72 73 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 82 78 76 75 74 RH..................68 77 85 91 94 96 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 LVORI...............3 4 4 5 6 6 ADI.................23 0 12 12 9 12 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............57. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............73 74 72 70 68 70 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................75 77 82 87 88 88 RH..................96 92 75 66 64 62 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 1 1 ADI.................12 22 36 45 57 52 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110705.JUNIP.01/ILM