FNUS74 KJAN 052202
FWSJAN

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHLEY 226 AFC 173...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
502 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1653 CDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER NORTHERN ASHLEY
COUNTY...BUT THEY ARE NOT MOVING IN THE DIRECTION OF THE FIRE.
THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS THAT OTHER STORMS COULD DEVELOP DUE TO
GUST FRONTS FROM THE CURRENT STORMS AND THIS POSSIBILITY WILL
NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. ALSO...
THE WINDS COULD BE ERRATIC OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS DUE TO
THE GUST FRONT CAUSING SUDDEN WIND SHIFTS AND INCREASE IN WIND
SPEEDS. OTHERWISE...THE WEATHER SHOULD BE QUIET AFTER SUNSET AND
AS WE GO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............89  88  84  81  78  77  76  74  73  73  72  71
RH..............58  60  67  74  82  84  86  89  91  93  95  98
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.8   7   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 5.5 4.0 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2
MIX HGT (KM)....2.0 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   10  12  13  13  13  13  12  10  10  9
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   5   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     74     85     91     93     94
RH..............99     88     68     55     49     46
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      SW     SW     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2      2      3      3      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      5      6
MIX HGT (FT)....100    2000   5600   6500   6600   6500
MIX HGT (M).....30     610    1710   1980   2010   1980
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   E 8    NW 6   N 5    NE 5   NE 6
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4   E 4    NW 3   N 2    NE 2   NE 3

$$
FORECASTER...CARPENTER
REQUESTED BY...BOBBY SCHAT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110705.ASHLE.01/JAN