FNUS72 KJAX 050917
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
517 AM EDT TUE JUL 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0453 EDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXPECTING SCATTERED AFTERNOON
STORMS. MIN RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 40 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AND WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
WINDS MAY BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........22     30     30     34     44     44
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............69     73     85     92     96     94
RH..............100    99     66     49     40     42
20 FT WIND......W 1    W 1    SW 2   SW 5   SW 5   S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5             5
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1800   1800   4200   6800   6800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5   W 6    W 6    W 6    W 6    W 6
DISPERSION INDX.2      13     13     29     42     42
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      20     20     20     30     30
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........46     44     44     50     54     54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     83     77     75     72     70
RH..............51     69     80     86     92     99
20 FT WIND......S 7    SE 7   SE 5   S 2    S 2    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       10            5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   1600   1600   900    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    W 6    W 6    SW 6   S 5    S 5
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
DISPERSION INDX.36     4      4      3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     10     10
LAL.............3      3      3      3      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110705.IMPAS.01/JAX