FNUS75 KPUB 061120
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
520 AM MDT WED JUL 6 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE HAS SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING.  WITH AFTERNOON
HEATING...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN AND
NEAR THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 1200 TO 1300.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL...AND
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  IF HEAVY RAIN MOVES OVER THE
BURN SITE...RAPID RUN OFF AND MUD AND ASH FLOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN AREAS WITH SUSCEPTIBLE SOILS.  GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED
AGAIN TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.  THESE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    5-15 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH.
                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 7000 FT AGL BY
                    1400.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2200...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-15 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN NORTHWEST
                    4-6 MPH. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(61 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7000 FT AGL BY
                    1400.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110705.DUCKE.01/PUB