FNUS72 KILM 061557 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HORNET FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1157 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1149 EDT ON JULY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FOR MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE THROUGH MID-MORNING...TYPE 1-F. LOW-LEVEL WIND MAX NEAR 2000 FT AGL... SW 25 MPH. WIND PROFILE WILL BECOME FAVORABLE BY 11 AM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............50. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............28 29 72 74 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 87 88 87 RH..................68 64 62 65 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 8 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................50 40 39 39 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-1400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............41. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............75 78 72 66 61 61 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 83 80 79 78 77 RH..................67 75 81 85 89 91 20 FT WIND..........S 9 S 9 S 7 S 5 S 4 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 10 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 5 5 ADI.................41 40 32 17 12 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............51. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............62 63 65 67 68 69 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 77 82 87 89 89 RH..................94 91 76 65 61 61 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 15 LVORI...............6 5 4 1 1 1 ADI.................9 8 8 50 51 34 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...DOUG MILLS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110706.HORNE.02/ILM