FNUS72 KILM 061944 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 344 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1522 EDT ON JULY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............37. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............95 92 85 85 83 81 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................87 82 78 76 74 73 RH..................61 73 83 90 95 97 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 5 6 6 ADI.................37 19 18 13 11 11 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5600-6700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............39. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............78 78 76 74 72 74 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR TEMP................74 76 82 88 90 90 RH..................96 94 77 64 58 57 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 2 1 ADI.................10 14 31 35 26 32 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............16. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............77 79 78 76 74 74 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................87 82 78 75 74 73 RH..................62 75 87 94 96 98 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 4 5 6 8 8 ADI.................16 0 7 7 4 7 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............49. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............74 74 72 69 67 69 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................74 75 82 88 90 90 RH..................99 96 78 64 58 56 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 LVORI...............8 6 3 1 1 1 ADI.................7 12 27 39 49 48 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110706.SIMMO.02/ILM