FNUS72 KJAX 060914
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
514 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0506 EDT ON JULY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS WEEK AS A
FRONT SAGS SOUTH TOWARDS THE AREA AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC LATER THIS WEEK. SCATTERED
AFTERNOON STORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MIN RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.
LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST...MAY BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY
NEAR STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-7200 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........39     46     46     40     55     55
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............71     74     86     94     97     95
RH..............100    95     65     50     43     45
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 3    S 5    S 5    S 6    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5                           10
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1800   1800   4500   7200   7200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   S 6    S 6    S 5    S 5    S 5
DISPERSION INDX.3      14     14     25     16     16
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     50     50
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............10.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........57     58     58     62     62     62
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............91     84     79     76     74     71
RH..............52     66     80     88     95     100
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 7   S 3    S 1    SE 1   SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5800   1600   1600   900    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    SE 10  SE 10  SE 7   SE 3   SE 3
LVORI...........10     10     10     10     10     10
DISPERSION INDX.27     7      5      3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     30     30     30     10     10
LAL.............3      3      3      3      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110706.IMPAS.01/JAX