FNUS72 KJAX 062103
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
503 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1652 EDT ON JULY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH...EXCEPT
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WHERE WINDS MAY BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY.
EXPECT INCREASING MOISTURE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A TROPICAL
WAVE CROSSES SOUTH FLORIDA. MINIMUM RH'S WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS AND WILL INCREASE TO ABOVE 50 PERCENT BY SUNDAY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR EACH DAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........57     58     58     62     62     62
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............91     85     79     77     74     72
RH..............52     65     78     86     92     97
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 7   S 3    S 1    SE 1   SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5800   1600   1600   900    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    SE 9   SE 9   SE 6   SE 3   SE 3
LVORI...........7      7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION INDX.27     16     19     3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........50     53     53     49     56     56
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............71     74     85     92     95     94
RH..............97     97     68     53     46     47
20 FT WIND......S 1    NW 1   N 2    NE 3   SE 5   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5             10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1800   1800   4300   6800   6800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 2    S 2    S 2    SE 5   E 7    E 7
DISPERSION INDX.1      1      1      24     33     33
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...PRESNALL
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110706.IMPAS.02/JAX