FNUS72 KJAX 061620
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNER POND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1220 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1225 EDT ON JULY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION. A POCKET OF DRIER AIR
ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP RAIN CHANCES ON THE LOW SIDE THIS
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE LATER THIS WEEK
AS TROPICAL MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM FLORIDA BAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........44     52     59
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............91     93     92
RH..............52     46     49
20 FT WIND......SE 3   E 7    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   6300   6300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7    E 9    E 12
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20
LAL.............1      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........59     66     66     69     73     73
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............88     84     79     77     76     74
RH..............53     65     77     84     89     93
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 8    E 5    E 2    SE 1   SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5200   1800   1800   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12   E 13   E 13   SE 8   SE 3   SE 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110706.PENNE.01/JAX