FNUS74 KEPZ 072334
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DONALDSON...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
534 PM MDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1647 MDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED JUST NORTHEAST
OF THE BURN SITE...WILL CARRY A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.  WITH UNSEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE...LIFT WITH THIS DISTURBANCE WILL HELP BUILD UP AFTERNOON
CONVECTION A LITTLE MORE THAN WHAT WE HAVE SEEN TODAY. ISOLATED STORMS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON NEAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BURN SCAR.
STORM COVERAGE MAY INCREASE SOME SATURDAY...WITH ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE
FOR ALL DIVISIONS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.......................CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR...............................0 PERCENT.
RIDGE TOP MIN TEMPERATURE.........65-70.
CANYON BOTTOM MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-64
RIDGE TOP MAX HUMIDITY............51-55 PERCENT.
CANYON BOTTOM MAX HUMIDITY........56-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL CANYON DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFTER 2200L.  UPPER PORTION
                    OF HILLSIDES AND RIDGE TOPS WILL SEE SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH...
                    DECREASING AND SHIFTING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
                    OF THE BURN AREA.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
RIDGE TOP MAX TEMPERATURE.........91-94.
CANYON BOTTOM MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-98
RIDGE TOP MIN HUMIDITY............13-17 PERCENT.
CANYON BOTTOM MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13800-15300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.......................MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR...............................0 PERCENT.
RIDGE TOP MIN TEMPERATURE.........64-69.
CANYON BOTTOM MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63
RIDGE TOP MAX HUMIDITY............53-57 PERCENT.
CANYON BOTTOM MAX HUMIDITY........58-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL CANYON DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFTER 2100L.  UPPER PORTION
                    OF HILLSIDES AND RIDGE TOPS WILL SEE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH...
                    DECREASING AND SHIFTING NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.







$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110707.DONAL.01/EPZ