FNUS74 KEPZ 080233
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ORANGE...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
833 PM MDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1955 MDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS AND SIGNIFICANT CLOUD
BUILD UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO...WILL SLOWLY SHIFT
EAST TOWARDS THE NEW MEXICO-TEXAS BORDER FRIDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL ALLOW
SOME OF THE MONSOON MOISTURE STREAM THAT HAS BEEN OVER ARIZONA...TO
BEGIN MAKING A SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE GILA NATIONAL FORECAST AND BURN SITE
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  LOOK FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN
MID AND LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE EXPECTED SATURDAY
AS DEEPER PORTIONS OF THIS STREAM EDGE EVER CLOSER TO THE BURN SITE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    2100L.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AFTER 2300L.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER 0900L...SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    LOCAL UP-VALLEY GUSTS TO 14 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110707.ORANG.01/EPZ