FNUS75 KGJT 080023
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
623 PM MDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1751 MDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS STILL MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS TOWARD THE BURN SITE...BUT HAVE BEEN SHOWING A
WEAKENING TREND AND PRECIPITATION LOOKING MORE DOUBTFUL THE
REMAIN OF THE NIGHT. SOME WIND GUSTS FROM THESE DYING STORMS MAY
ALSO BE UP TO NEAR THE 40 MPH MARK. THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE
FOR FRIDAY WITH MOIST FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NEW
MEXICO...SO EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS NEAR THE BURN SITE.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
                    HOURS...BUT A FEW STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF
                    THE BURN SITE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 48 F NEAR SUNRISE.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85% DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND WEAKENING SHOWERS
                    WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH POSSIBLE.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 13 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4 BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...PMEDINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110707.BEAVE.01/GJT