FNUS75 KGJT 080415
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONKEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1015 PM MDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2150 MDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ROTATE AROUND UPPER HIGH OVER NEW MEXICO LEADING
TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION LATE THIS EVENING. STORMS ARE
MOVING TOWARD PROPOSED BURN SITE AND ISOLATED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WINDS GUSTS NEAR THESE STORMS OR
DISSIPATING SHOWERS MAY APPROACH 35 MPH. WINDS SHOULD BE TERRAIN DRIVEN
TONIGHT INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT AROUND
10 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AS INVERSION MIX OUT. THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS UPPER PATTERN
REMAINS THE SAME...WITH MOISTURE FROM SOUTHWEST CONTINUING TO ROTATE
INTO WESTERN COLORADO AND STORMS EXPECTED TO FIRE ON THE HIGH TERRAIN
BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THROUGH MIDNIGHT WITH
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 50 F BY SUNRISE.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 66% BY SUNRISE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 82 F BY 3 PM MDT.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 17% BY 3 PM MDT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...LOREN WICKSTROM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110707.MONKE.01/GJT