FNUS72 KILM 070926 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 526 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0517 EDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............32. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............77 77 78 79 79 81 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................72 73 79 85 88 87 RH..................100 100 83 68 60 60 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 3 S 5 S 5 S 3 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............6 5 3 3 2 2 ADI.................10 25 25 32 26 26 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............25. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............82 81 81 80 77 83 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................84 79 76 75 75 74 RH..................67 83 91 95 95 95 20 FT WIND..........S 4 SE 4 S 5 SE 5 SE 3 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............3 4 5 6 7 6 ADI.................25 7 7 8 5 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............31. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............85 69 66 62 59 63 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................75 75 81 86 88 89 RH..................95 98 80 67 62 62 20 FT WIND..........E 2 SW 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 LVORI...............6 4 3 3 2 2 ADI.................3 31 28 19 28 28 $$ FORECASTER...KREITNER REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110707.SIMMO.01/ILM