FNUS72 KJAX 072124
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
524 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1719 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE REST OF THIS WEEK
AS A FRONT SAGS SOUTH TOWARDS THE AREA AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS COUPLED WITH TYPICAL WARM SUMMER TEMPERATURES
WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FORM OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH MUCH LESS COVERAGE
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT...WITH
LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS NEAR STORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........75     80     80     77     67     67
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90     85     80     78     76     75
RH..............56     66     78     83     88     91
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 5   SE 5   S 3    S 3    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4400   1600   1600   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10   SE 7   SE 7   S 6    SW 5   SW 5
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.41     14     15     3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.............2      2      2      2      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LVORI...............MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........69     77     77     78     78     78
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     76     84     89     92     90
RH..............95     93     72     61     55     57
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 3    S 6    S 7    S 8    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1600   1600   3200   4700   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6    S 7    S 7    S 9    S 12   S 12
LVORI...........M      M      M      M      M      M
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     50     50     50     70     70
LAL.............1      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110707.IMPAS.02/JAX