FNUS72 KJAX 071336
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNER POND COMP 5...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
936 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA BY AFTERNOON. ON FRIDAY...EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE SPREADS OVER THE AREA. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS TODAY WILL SLOWLY
VEER TO SOUTHEASTERLY THIS EVENING AND SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY IN VICINITY OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........74     65     71     71     80
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............84     89     91     91     89
RH..............79     64     55     54     59
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 5    E 7    E 7    SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5                    10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   2700   3800   3800   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5    E 6    E 7    E 7    SE 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     60     60     60
LAL.............3      3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     84     84     85     67     67
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     83     79     78     76     75
RH..............59     69     80     86     90     93
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 7   S 6    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1600   1600   1000   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8   SE 9   SE 9   S 8    S 7    S 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............4      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4 UNTIL 1400...THEN 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110707.PENNE.01/JAX