FNUS72 KMHX 071151 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NC FOREST RESOURCES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 751 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0725 EDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY...STALL OVER THE AREA SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE ON MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH MID WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............70 68 60 60 60 63 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................76 80 86 88 90 88 RH..................91 81 67 63 61 66 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6 SW 6 SW 9 S 11 S 11 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............6 4 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 18 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 85 96 96 87 86 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................87 82 79 76 75 74 RH..................68 80 86 90 93 96 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 10 S 11 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 20 20 15 LVORI...............3 3 4 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 12 MPH LATE. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............85 84 83 83 82 83 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 78 82 85 86 86 RH..................99 88 77 69 68 67 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 10 SW 11 S 12 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 20 20 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...CHUCK CREDLE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110707.PAINS.01/MHX