FNUS74 KMOB 080219
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LILLIAN SWAMP FIRE 20110707...BALDWIN CO.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
919 PM CDT THU JUL 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2112 CDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A REMNANT TROPICAL WAVE AND SURFACE TROUGH WILL ADVANCE
TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...BRINGING WITH IT AN INCREASE
IN RAINFALL CHANCES. MEANWHILE...A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD INTO THE AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...INCREASING THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE
UPPER 90S BY SUNDAY. ONCE THE TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH...EXPECT TYPICAL
SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP EACH DAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%)...........36     36     45     45     45
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S SCH  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............83     80     79     77     77
RH................69     78     82     86     87
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      SW     W
20 FT WIND SPD....5      3      3      2      2
MIX HGT (FT)......2000   1600   1300   1000   700
MIX HGT (M).......610    490    400    300    210
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      7      7      7      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION........3      3      3      3      3
LVORI.............3      4      5      6      6
CWR...............20     20     20     20     20

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........45     52     52     52     55     55
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............77     82     90     92     92     91
RH................87     75     57     54     54     55
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     N      E      SE     S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....2      2      4      6      9      9
MIX HGT (FT)......500    1400   3600   5700   6400   5600
MIX HGT (M).......150    430    1100   1740   1950   1710
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      3      2      1      2      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      1      1      0      1      3
DISPERSION........2      6      6      4      8      19
LVORI.............6      4      3      2      2      2
CWR...............40     50     50     50     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...STEVE JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110707.LILLI.01/MOB