FNUS74 KBMX 082131
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAKEY HEAD...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
431 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1624 CDT ON JULY 08.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH HOTTER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90     83     78     76     75     74
RH..............51     72     81     85     86     89
20 FT WIND......W 5    SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....6200   3500   900    300    400    700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   W 12   W 8    SW 5   SW 6   SW 10
DISPERSION......52     49     9      2      3      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 86 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 92 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 78 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 71.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............72     78     85     89     92     94
RH..............99     85     70     62     54     51
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 2    W 5    W 7    W 7    W 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....600    2100   5000   6500   7300   7500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 10   W 13   W 13   W 12   W 9
DISPERSION......4      5      8      89     89     73

$$
FORECASTER...GOLDEN
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110708.SHAKE.01/BMX