FNUS75 KGJT 081448
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...GMUG FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
848 AM MDT FRI JUL 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0819 MDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST AND UNSTABLE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. DAYTIME HEATING AND SMALL
EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL TRIGGER AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1000...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    VARIABLE TO UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL
                    1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS
                    UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT 0930 INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    BY 1200...THEN 13000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 23 MPH IN
                    AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...DECREASING TO 300 FT
                    AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    UPSLOPE 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH AFTER 1600. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110708.DRYPA.01/GJT