FNUS72 KILM 082115 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 515 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1648 EDT ON JULY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA UNTIL A WEAK COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A LOW LEVEL JET WILL BRING 1000 FT WIND SPEEDS AS HIGH AS 25 MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY. THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE SUNDAY...BRINGING DRIER WEATHER AND A SWITCH IN WIND DIRECTIONS FROM SOUTH/SOUTHWEST...TO NORTHEAST AND EAST. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............43. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............86 86 85 83 78 80 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................80 79 78 78 78 77 RH..................87 87 87 85 89 91 20 FT WIND..........S 9 S 9 S 8 S 6 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 10 10 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 5 5 ADI.................42 43 43 21 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH VERY EARLY...DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............56. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............83 90 88 86 79 81 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 79 83 87 88 88 RH..................95 85 74 65 64 66 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 10 LVORI...............4 4 3 1 1 3 ADI.................16 34 34 56 46 46 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...WITH DECREASING CHANCES OF STORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 900 FT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............36. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............80 74 74 75 76 76 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................86 82 79 77 76 75 RH..................71 80 87 93 95 97 20 FT WIND..........NW 4 N 2 N 2 NW 2 W 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............3 6 8 9 8 8 ADI.................36 25 24 18 13 10 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110708.JUNIP.01/ILM