FNUS72 KILM 080936 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 536 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0531 EDT ON JULY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS INTO THE WEEKEND. TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS WILL BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE WEEKEND. SOME OF THIS RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............33. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............74 82 80 79 78 77 WEATHER COV.........S CHC LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................74 75 81 86 89 90 RH..................99 99 82 69 61 59 20 FT WIND..........S 3 SW 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 5 10 LVORI...............9 7 4 3 2 2 ADI.................3 11 11 33 29 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000-1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 18 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............31. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............77 77 78 80 81 83 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................87 82 79 78 77 77 RH..................64 77 86 91 92 92 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 6 S 5 S 5 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............2 3 4 5 5 5 ADI.................25 31 31 11 12 12 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............53. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............86 88 88 83 69 71 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 79 83 87 89 89 RH..................93 83 72 63 60 59 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 W 5 W 4 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............5 5 4 1 1 1 ADI.................14 29 15 53 46 46 $$ FORECASTER...KREITNER REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110708.SIMMO.01/ILM