FNUS72 KJAX 082129
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
529 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1708 EDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT. ON SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA...PLENTIFUL MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10-15 MPH...BUT MAY BE
LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR STORMS. THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE
WILL DOMINATE AGAIN SATURDAY AS IT PROGRESSES INLAND. RH'S ARE
FORECAST TO BE WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........86     86     86     81     77     77
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............84     81     78     77     76     75
RH..............65     76     86     90     92     95
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 8    S 7    S 7    S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1600   1600   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 12   S 12   S 9    S 8    S 8
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     40     40     40
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    THROUGH THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........79     79     79     75     71     71
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     77     85     90     92     91
RH..............99     95     74     63     58     59
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 5    SW 7   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1600   1600   2600   4400   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 9    S 9    S 10   SW 12  SW 12
DISPERSION INDX.4      7      7      26     33     33
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     70     70     70     70     70
LAL.............2      2      2      2      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110708.IMPAS.02/JAX