FNUS75 KPUB 081158
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAULEY SPRING FIRE...HOEHNE FPD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
558 AM MDT FRI JUL 8 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND
THEN CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING HOURS.
THE STORMS WILL BE FAIRLY SLOW MOVING AND THUS HEAVY RAIN IS A
THREAT...ALONG WITH LIGHTNING.  SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
ALSO PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES.  WE SHOULD SEE THE
THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS END BY MIDNIGHT.  SATURDAY
WILL BE MUCH LIKE TODAY...WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
BY NOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(54 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 12-17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(61 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(49 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(48 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF DURAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110708.PAULE.01/PUB