FNAK79 PAFG 100522
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE TUTUSIROK FIRE...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
922 PM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2110 AKDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE WILL PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING.  THE THROUGH REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY INTO SUNDAY WITH
MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FIRE WILL
CAUSE THE WIND DIRECTION TO BE QUITE ERRATIC AT TIMES THIS EVENING
AND AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-65 PERCENT) AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 3 AFTER NOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SWENDSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110709.LAKET.01/AFG