FNUS75 KBOU 100010 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LEE HILL FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 600 PM MDT SAT JUL 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA THROUGH ABOUT 2200...GREATEST THREAT BETWEEN 1930 AND 2100. STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY HEAVY RAIN. MOST LIKELY STRONG WIND DIRECTION WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. AFTER 2200 THERE WILL STILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE 70-75 WITH HUMIDITY BETWEEN 40-50%. WEATHER ON SUNDAY LOOKS SIMILAR WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. PLEASE NOTE THAT WINDS MAY BE VARIABLE THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. WINDS GIVEN ARE PREVAILING WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-62. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 8-16 MPH WITH SOUTHWEST PREVAILING. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2200 WITH STRONGER GUSTS NEAR STORMS. AFTER 2200...SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84. MIN HUMIDITY........28-34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7400-8400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-62. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83. MIN HUMIDITY........30-36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 5-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9200-10200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LEEHILL FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/09-17 72 45 22 79 29 W14 22 3 4 SW26 6575 W24 145446 V 07/09-18 75 29 8 76 33 W12 18 4 4 SW24 5441 W22 103728 V 07/09-19 75 29 8 72 36 W10 17 4 4 SW22 3850 W18 71338 G 07/09-20 75 29 8 69 40 W10 17 4 4 SW22 2259 W15 38947 P 07/09-21 75 29 8 66 43 W10 16 4 4 SW22 668 W12 6556 P 07/09-22 75 29 8 63 47 W 9 15 4 4 SW21 533 W 9 4856 P 07/09-23 75 29 8 63 47 W 8 14 3 4 SW22 398 W 8 3156 P 07/10-00 76 10 2 62 49 SW 8 8 3 1 SW22 263 SW 7 1455 P 07/10-01 76 10 2 61 50 SW 7 7 3 1 SW24 240 SW 7 1321 P 07/10-02 76 10 2 61 50 SW 7 7 3 1 SW28 216 SW 6 1187 P 07/10-03 63 5 1 59 52 SW 7 7 3 1 SW30 193 W 6 1053 P 07/10-04 63 5 1 58 54 SW 7 7 3 1 SW30 196 W 6 1015 P 07/10-05 63 5 1 58 55 SW 6 6 3 1 SW29 199 W 6 977 P 07/10-06 52 5 1 60 53 SW 6 6 3 1 W30 202 W 6 939 P 07/10-07 52 5 1 61 52 SW 5 5 3 1 W32 1569 W 9 20346 P 07/10-08 52 5 1 66 46 S 3 3 2 1 W36 2935 W13 39753 P 07/10-09 52 10 2 70 41 S 3 3 2 2 W38 4301 W16 59159 F 07/10-10 52 10 2 74 37 S 3 3 2 2 W37 6037 W16 83627 G 07/10-11 52 10 2 77 34 S 3 3 3 2 W33 7772 W16 108095 V 07/10-12 73 30 9 79 32 S 5 5 3 4 W31 9507 SW16 132562 V 07/10-13 73 30 9 80 31 SW 7 7 3 4 W29 9220 SW16 132191 V 07/10-14 73 30 9 81 30 SW 8 13 3 4 W28 8933 W17 131819 V 07/10-15 73 30 9 81 29 SW 9 15 3 4 W26 8645 W17 131447 V 07/10-16 73 30 9 81 29 SW10 16 3 4 W26 7720 SW17 115511 V 07/10-17 73 30 9 81 30 SW10 17 3 4 SW28 6794 SW17 99574 G 07/10-18 75 40 18 77 34 SW12 18 3 4 SW29 5869 SW16 83638 G 07/10-19 75 40 18 72 39 SW13 20 3 4 SW30 4013 W16 57031 F 07/10-20 75 40 18 69 43 W14 22 3 4 SW31 2157 W15 30424 P 07/10-21 75 40 18 66 47 W15 24 3 4 SW33 301 W15 3818 P 07/10-22 75 40 18 64 52 W13 13 3 4 SW31 261 W13 2926 P 07/10-23 75 40 18 63 55 SW10 10 3 4 SW29 220 SW 9 2035 P 07/11-00 46 10 2 62 58 SW 8 8 3 2 SW26 180 SW 7 1144 P 07/11-01 46 10 2 60 59 SW 7 7 3 2 SW25 170 SW 7 1028 P 07/11-02 46 10 2 60 58 SW 7 7 3 2 SW25 160 SW 7 912 P 07/11-03 46 10 2 59 60 S 7 7 3 2 SW24 150 SW 6 796 P 07/11-04 46 10 2 58 61 S 6 6 3 2 SW22 149 SW 5 648 P 07/11-05 46 10 2 58 62 S 3 3 2 2 SW20 148 W 3 499 P 07/11-06 52 11 2 58 62 S 2 2 2 2 W18 147 W 2 351 P 07/11-07 52 11 2 61 60 CALM 1 2 2 SW17 2013 W 6 17514 P 07/11-08 52 11 2 68 50 CALM 1 3 2 SW16 3878 W 8 34678 P 07/11-09 52 11 2 75 42 CALM 1 3 2 SW16 5744 W10 51841 F 07/11-10 52 11 2 78 38 NE 3 3 3 2 SW17 7064 W 8 45670 F 07/11-11 52 11 2 80 35 NE 6 6 2 2 SW18 8385 W 6 39499 P 07/11-12 73 50 26 80 34 E 8 8 2 4 SW18 9705 W 3 33327 P 07/11-13 73 50 26 81 32 E 7 7 2 4 SW16 10005 SW 5 44346 F 07/11-14 73 50 26 81 32 E 5 5 2 4 S12 10305 S 6 55365 F 07/11-15 73 50 26 80 33 E 3 3 2 4 S 9 10605 S 7 66385 G 07/11-16 73 50 26 78 36 NE 6 6 2 4 S 8 9692 S 8 65925 G 07/11-17 73 50 26 78 39 N 8 8 2 4 S 9 8780 S 9 65466 G 07/11-18 81 44 21 76 42 NW10 10 2 4 S10 7868 S 9 65006 G 07/11-19 81 44 21 72 50 W10 10 2 4 S12 5382 SW 8 43935 F 07/11-20 81 44 21 69 57 SW 8 8 3 4 SW14 2896 SW 7 22865 P 07/11-21 81 44 21 67 64 SW 7 7 3 4 SW16 410 SW 5 1794 P 07/11-22 81 44 21 64 70 SW 7 7 3 4 SW16 335 SW 5 1481 P 07/11-23 81 44 21 63 71 SW 6 6 3 4 SW16 261 SW 6 1169 P 07/12-00 53 10 2 62 72 SW 6 6 3 2 SW15 186 SW 6 857 P 07/12-01 53 10 2 61 72 W 6 6 3 2 SW14 188 W 5 802 P 07/12-02 53 10 2 61 69 NW 5 5 2 2 SW13 190 NW 5 747 P 07/12-03 53 10 2 59 69 N 5 5 2 2 SW12 192 NW 5 692 P 07/12-04 53 10 2 58 68 NW 5 5 2 2 SW10 203 NW 5 773 P 07/12-05 53 10 2 58 65 W 5 5 2 2 SW10 214 W 5 853 P 07/12-06 63 11 2 59 63 W 5 5 2 2 SW 9 225 W 5 934 P 07/12-07 63 11 2 61 58 NW 3 3 2 2 SW 8 2175 W 3 4478 P 07/12-08 63 11 2 68 47 N 3 3 2 2 S 7 4126 W 3 8023 P 07/12-09 63 11 2 74 39 N 2 2 2 2 S 6 6076 W 2 11568 P 07/12-10 63 11 2 77 37 CALM 1 2 2 S 7 7352 SW 3 20163 P 07/12-11 63 11 2 79 37 CALM 1 2 2 S 9 8628 S 3 28758 P 07/12-12 79 46 23 79 37 CALM 1 2 4 S12 9904 S 5 37354 P 07/12-13 79 46 23 80 36 CALM 1 2 4 S14 9722 S 5 42772 F 07/12-14 79 46 23 80 36 E 2 2 2 4 S17 9540 S 6 48190 F 07/12-15 79 46 23 80 36 E 2 2 2 4 SW20 9358 SW 7 53608 F 07/12-16 79 46 23 77 39 E 2 2 2 4 SW21 8543 SW 5 39938 P 07/12-17 79 46 23 77 40 NE 3 3 2 4 S21 7727 W 3 26268 P 07/12-18 71 46 23 75 43 NE 3 3 2 4 S21 6912 W 2 12598 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...LEE HILL CMD REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110709.LEEHI.01/BOU