FNUS72 KILM 091917 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HORNET FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 317 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1511 EDT ON JULY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT LAYING EAST TO WEST IS MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A PIEDMONT TROUGH DEVELOPS. A DRY AND COOLER AIRMASS WILL TRY TO BUILD SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE AREA LATE NEXT WEEK WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............13. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............77 74 63 60 61 58 WEATHER COV.........NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................86 82 79 77 75 75 RH..................74 80 84 87 92 94 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 N 3 SW 2 S 2 S 1 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 LVORI...............4 4 5 6 7 7 ADI.................13 6 4 3 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............25. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............57 57 68 69 64 46 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 78 84 88 89 88 RH..................95 90 77 68 66 66 20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 4 E 4 SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 15 LVORI...............8 6 4 3 3 3 ADI.................4 5 5 18 22 22 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............25. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............38 30 26 23 16 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 84 81 79 78 76 RH..................69 75 82 86 88 90 20 FT WIND..........SE 7 SE 6 S 5 S 3 S 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 LVORI...............3 3 4 5 5 6 ADI.................25 10 7 7 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700-6500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............39. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............30 29 27 27 27 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 78 84 89 90 90 RH..................92 91 74 64 61 61 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 S 2 SE 3 SE 5 S 7 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 15 15 LVORI...............8 4 3 2 2 2 ADI.................0 16 16 20 27 27 $$ FORECASTER...LEBO REQUESTED BY...DOUG MILLS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110709.HORNE.01/ILM