FNUS72 KILM 091855 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 255 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1430 EDT ON JULY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT LAYING EAST TO WEST IS MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING EAST LATE. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............21. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 67 48 42 44 50 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 80 78 76 74 73 RH..................74 91 93 93 95 92 20 FT WIND..........N 2 E 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 LVORI...............3 6 6 6 6 5 ADI.................21 3 3 5 4 6 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............35. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............53 57 42 36 33 24 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................73 76 81 86 87 88 RH..................89 86 73 61 57 57 20 FT WIND..........NE 3 NE 3 E 5 E 5 E 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 2 2 ADI.................8 28 28 35 26 26 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............25. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............21 20 18 15 11 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 82 77 75 74 73 RH..................62 73 86 94 96 94 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 5 SE 4 SE 2 SE 2 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 LVORI...............2 3 5 6 7 6 ADI.................25 6 6 6 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-6300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............59. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............23 32 41 42 39 39 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................74 76 83 88 90 90 RH..................94 93 74 60 54 54 20 FT WIND..........E 1 SE 2 SE 3 SE 4 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 15 LVORI...............8 5 3 3 1 1 ADI.................0 16 16 10 31 31 $$ FORECASTER...LEBO REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110709.JUNIP.02/ILM