FNUS75 KPUB 101031
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...PIDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
431 AM MDT SUN JUL 10 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THERE ARE CURRENTLY A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE BURN AREA AND WE CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT THE CHANCE FOR A LIGHTNING STRIKE THIS MORNING.
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS...WITH ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE.  THE STORMS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE SLOW MOVING AND THUS THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.  BY LATE NIGHT THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
WILL DECREASE OR END.  MONDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(58 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL
                    1500 THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.  GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12400 FT AGL AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(61 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(60 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 12200 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110709.DUCKE.01/PUB