FNUS75 KABQ 101630
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACHECO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1030 AM MDT SUN JUL 10 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

DISCUSSION...CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN THIS MORNING
WILL LEAD TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
DEEPER MOISTURE AND STRONGER FORCING MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL FAVOR
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING OVER
THE BURN SCAR TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
IMPACT THE AREA MONDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TO
CONTINUE. VENTILATION RATES WILL DETERIORATE TO POOR ONCE STORMS
DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT 7/10/11
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       BY LATE THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                       WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-74.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 31-36 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                       16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/97500 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/32502 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/88839 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                       EVENING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53-56.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 70-75 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN
                       DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BY LATE
                       MORNING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67-71.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 43-48 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/72100 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/39975 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING POOR/39667 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...42

$$

REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM MAESTAS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110710.PACHE.01/ABQ