FNUS75 KBOU 101709 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LEE HILL FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1109 AM MDT SUN JUL 10 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD FORM BY THE FIRE AREA BY ABOUT 1 PM WITH THE MAIN CHANCE OF ACTIVITY FROM 2 - 8 PM. GREATEST THREAT WILL BE FOR HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. RAIN RATES OF ONE INCH IN 30 MINUTES WITH A STRONGER STORM...AS WELL AS WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH IN OUTFLOWS. STORMS WILL BE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH TO 20 MPH. TEMPERATURES ARE WILL BE THE SAME OR A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER TODAY...HOWEVER MOISTURE IS HIGHER TODAY TO KEEP MINIMUM HUMIDITIES UP AND THE CHANCE FOR BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8000-9000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9200-10200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LEEHILL FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/10-10 52 10 2 74 37 W 5 5 2 2 W15 6061 W14 69425 G 07/10-11 52 10 2 77 33 W 6 6 3 2 W16 7489 W13 78057 G 07/10-12 73 30 9 79 32 W 7 7 3 4 W17 8917 W12 86690 G 07/10-13 73 30 9 80 30 W 7 7 3 4 W20 9103 W12 94880 G 07/10-14 73 30 9 81 30 W 8 13 3 4 W22 9289 W13 103069 V 07/10-15 73 30 9 81 30 W 8 13 3 4 SW23 9475 W14 111259 V 07/10-16 73 30 9 81 30 W 8 13 3 4 SW22 8442 W13 96125 G 07/10-17 73 30 9 81 30 W 8 13 3 4 SW21 7409 SW13 80991 G 07/10-18 75 40 18 77 34 W 8 13 3 4 SW20 6376 SW12 65856 G 07/10-19 75 40 18 72 40 W 8 13 3 4 SW21 4353 SW10 44642 F 07/10-20 75 40 18 69 44 W 8 13 3 4 SW22 2330 W 9 23427 P 07/10-21 75 40 18 66 49 W 8 13 3 4 SW22 306 W 8 2212 P 07/10-22 75 40 18 64 55 W 7 7 3 4 SW22 259 W 7 1734 P 07/10-23 75 40 18 63 56 SW 7 7 3 4 SW21 212 SW 7 1255 P 07/11-00 50 10 2 62 59 SW 6 6 3 2 SW18 165 SW 6 776 P 07/11-01 50 10 2 60 61 SW 5 5 3 2 SW16 164 SW 6 753 P 07/11-02 50 10 2 60 61 SW 5 5 3 2 SW14 164 SW 5 731 P 07/11-03 50 10 2 59 64 SW 5 5 3 2 S14 163 SW 5 708 P 07/11-04 50 10 2 58 66 SW 6 6 3 2 S18 167 SW 5 695 P 07/11-05 50 10 2 58 66 S 7 7 3 2 SW24 170 SW 5 681 P 07/11-06 47 10 2 58 68 S 8 13 3 2 SW28 174 SW 5 668 P 07/11-07 47 10 2 60 65 S 8 8 3 2 SW26 1492 SW 6 8566 P 07/11-08 47 10 2 65 56 S 6 6 2 2 SW22 2810 S 6 16465 P 07/11-09 47 10 2 70 49 S 5 5 2 2 S17 4128 S 7 24363 P 07/11-10 47 10 2 74 42 SE 3 3 2 2 S16 5773 S 7 38631 P 07/11-11 47 10 2 77 38 SE 3 3 2 2 S17 7418 S 8 52899 F 07/11-12 73 50 26 79 35 SE 3 3 2 4 S18 9063 S 8 67167 G 07/11-13 73 50 26 80 33 SE 3 3 2 4 S18 9540 S 9 72834 G 07/11-14 73 50 26 81 32 SE 5 5 2 4 S20 10017 S 9 78501 G 07/11-15 73 50 26 82 32 SE 5 5 2 4 SW20 10495 S 9 84167 G 07/11-16 73 50 26 82 32 SE 3 3 2 4 SW21 10212 S 9 83717 G 07/11-17 73 50 26 81 34 E 3 3 2 4 SW22 9930 S 9 83267 G 07/11-18 73 40 18 80 37 E 2 2 2 4 SW23 9648 S10 82817 G 07/11-19 73 40 18 78 41 E 2 2 2 4 SW23 7326 S 8 57577 F 07/11-20 73 40 18 75 47 N 2 2 2 4 SW22 5004 S 6 32337 P 07/11-21 73 40 18 71 54 N 3 3 2 4 SW22 2682 SW 3 7097 P 07/11-22 73 40 18 69 59 NW 5 5 2 4 SW21 1928 SW 3 5189 P 07/11-23 73 40 18 67 61 SW 5 5 2 4 SW21 1175 SW 3 3281 P 07/12-00 54 10 2 66 63 S 6 6 2 2 SW21 422 SW 3 1373 P 07/12-01 54 10 2 64 63 S 6 6 2 2 SW21 363 SW 5 1436 P 07/12-02 54 10 2 63 63 SW 6 6 2 2 SW21 305 W 6 1500 P 07/12-03 54 10 2 62 62 W 6 6 2 2 SW21 247 W 7 1563 P 07/12-04 54 10 2 61 62 W 7 7 2 2 SW18 247 W 8 1654 P 07/12-05 54 10 2 61 59 W 8 8 2 2 SW17 247 W 8 1746 P 07/12-06 54 10 2 61 58 W 8 8 2 2 SW15 247 W 8 1837 P 07/12-07 54 10 2 63 55 W 7 7 2 2 SW13 1770 W 8 12267 P 07/12-08 54 10 2 67 49 SW 5 5 2 2 SW12 3293 W 8 22697 P 07/12-09 86 10 2 71 44 SW 3 3 2 2 SW10 4816 W 8 33127 P 07/12-10 86 10 2 75 40 S 2 2 2 2 SW10 6337 W 7 33320 P 07/12-11 86 10 2 77 38 SE 2 2 2 2 SW10 7858 SW 6 33513 P 07/12-12 86 50 26 79 38 SE 3 3 2 4 SW10 9379 SW 5 33706 P 07/12-13 86 50 26 80 36 SE 5 5 2 4 SW 9 9552 S 5 36779 P 07/12-14 86 50 26 81 35 SE 7 7 2 4 SW 7 9725 S 5 39851 P 07/12-15 86 50 26 81 35 SE 8 8 2 4 SW 6 9898 SE 5 42924 F 07/12-16 86 50 26 81 35 SE 7 7 2 4 S 3 9862 SE 6 45799 F 07/12-17 86 50 26 81 36 S 5 5 2 4 S 2 9826 SE 6 48675 F 07/12-18 86 50 26 79 37 S 3 3 2 4 SE 3 9790 SE 6 51551 F 07/12-19 86 50 26 77 40 SE 3 3 2 4 SE 7 8118 SE 6 40202 F 07/12-20 86 50 26 73 46 NE 6 6 2 4 SE13 6445 E 5 28853 P 07/12-21 86 50 26 68 54 N 7 7 2 4 SE17 4773 E 5 17503 P 07/12-22 86 50 26 66 59 N 9 9 2 4 SE18 4259 SE 3 13804 P 07/12-23 86 50 26 64 61 NW12 12 2 4 S20 3744 SW 3 10105 P 07/13-00 77 10 2 62 64 W12 18 2 2 S20 3230 W 2 6406 P 07/13-01 77 10 2 61 67 W 9 9 2 2 S20 2839 SW 3 7683 P 07/13-02 77 10 2 59 69 SW 6 6 2 2 SW20 2448 S 5 8960 P 07/13-03 77 10 2 58 72 S 2 2 2 2 SW18 2056 SE 6 10237 P 07/13-04 77 10 2 57 74 CALM 1 2 2 SW18 1969 S 6 9580 P 07/13-05 77 10 2 56 73 CALM 1 2 2 SW18 1882 S 6 8924 P 07/13-06 63 0 0 57 71 CALM 1 2 1 SW20 1794 S 6 8267 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GREG JONES REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110710.LEEHI.01/BOU